We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–10 on winners spread MAE 8.9 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Michigan @ Penn State -10.7 161.2 20% 74–72 ✓
Duke @ Louisville +5.0 158.2 65% 84–73 ✗
Georgia @ Florida +4.6 162.9 69% 77–92 ✓
Cincinnati @ West Virginia +4.4 135.4 68% 60–62 ✓
St. John's @ Butler +1.4 158.8 54% 84–70 ✗
Syracuse @ Georgia Tech +0.6 142.8 59% 82–72 ✗
Western Michigan @ Miami (OH) +15.0 157.5 88% 76–87 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State -3.3 133.3 31% 74–52 ✓
Central Michigan @ Akron +21.3 158.4 90% 69–82 ✓
Bowling Green @ Kent State +0.2 155.4 67% 93–96 ✓
South Carolina @ LSU +10.3 148.1 82% 78–68 ✗
Iowa @ Minnesota -6.5 130.5 25% 67–70 ✗
UCF @ Oklahoma State +0.4 159.9 50% 76–87 ✓
George Washington @ Dayton +1.3 147.9 58% 72–79 ✓
Georgetown @ DePaul +4.1 144.1 69% 50–56 ✓
Toledo @ Northern Illinois -6.3 148.2 32% 75–61 ✓
Lindenwood @ SIU Edwardsville +1.1 142.4 54% 62–66 ✓
Texas Tech @ Houston +5.7 140.8 63% 65–69 ✓
Texas @ Tennessee +10.5 148.4 83% 71–85 ✓
TCU @ Kansas +9.2 139.9 79% 100–104 ✓
New Mexico @ Colorado State +2.2 136.4 56% 80–70 ✗
UCLA @ Wisconsin +3.5 147.9 66% 72–80 ✓
NC State @ Boston College -10.1 139.8 20% 79–71 ✓
Utah State @ Air Force -16.2 135.2 11% 99–62 ✓
Texas A&M @ Auburn +5.9 165.6 64% 90–88 ✗
UNLV @ Wyoming +8.9 151.9 82% 66–98 ✓
Fresno State @ San José State +2.2 140.2 65% 70–55 ✗
San Diego State @ Nevada +4.1 147.2 75% 73–68 ✗
Furman @ Chattanooga -4.2 142.6 37% 78–67 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lehigh +2.0 133.6 61% 58–66 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Army +5.1 148.9 69% 84–76 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford +7.7 147.4 77% 85–97 ✓
Indiana @ Maryland -8.1 148.7 25% 84–66 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville +3.8 140.8 65% 61–72 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +5.3 162.5 78% 77–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.