Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–7 on winners spread MAE 8.3 27 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Lafayette @ Lehigh +4.0 144.9 67% 59–64 ✓
Seattle U @ Pacific +2.2 134.9 60% 54–56 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Long Beach State -4.1 144.1 35% 74–71 ✓
Canisius @ Fairfield +9.2 133.7 85% 55–61 ✓
Manhattan @ Iona +8.9 154.3 85% 57–66 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly +1.4 159.7 62% 93–78 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Fresno State -3.0 136.8 43% 68–57 ✓
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +16.5 146.5 89% 66–68 ✓
Kansas @ Kansas State -3.2 151.9 33% 86–62 ✓
UIC @ Bradley +4.3 142.9 67% 85–70 ✗
Nevada @ New Mexico +7.0 144.5 80% 73–80 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Portland -14.1 142.4 13% 75–69 ✓
California @ Stanford +4.1 142.7 72% 78–66 ✗
Omaha @ Kansas City -4.0 144.7 30% 77–60 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona -6.8 144.9 28% 77–81 ✗
Weber State @ Montana State +5.7 146.8 77% 88–91 ✓
Utah Valley @ California Baptist +0.2 137.4 51% 71–78 ✓
Tennessee @ Alabama +5.5 165.0 65% 79–73 ✗
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech +7.4 147.3 76% 91–102 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Diego -12.8 154.3 14% 85–73 ✓
Cincinnati @ Arizona State +1.4 143.4 58% 68–82 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego +5.9 144.3 76% 61–59 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +9.0 151.2 82% 68–89 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ South Florida +5.0 159.8 66% 75–89 ✓
Oregon @ Washington +6.0 145.5 71% 57–72 ✓
Chicago State @ Mercyhurst +9.2 128.5 73% 59–61 ✓
USC @ Wisconsin +7.2 158.5 78% 73–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.