I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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94–33 on winners spread MAE 8.3 127 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb -9.9 147.5 18% 65–67 ✗
High Point @ Radford -10.2 158.6 20% 93–83 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Longwood -0.0 153.2 60% 79–81 ✗
Massachusetts @ Buffalo +2.1 153.6 68% 68–67 ✗
Chicago State @ Saint Francis +1.8 139.8 58% 60–81 ✓
Long Island University @ Stonehill -5.9 134.7 23% 66–63 ✓
Wagner @ Le Moyne +5.9 143.3 73% 67–69 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Central Connecticut +8.0 137.1 77% 76–66 ✗
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +15.6 138.5 90% 55–84 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State -4.2 135.6 31% 58–75 ✗
Tulane @ Charlotte +3.5 141.7 68% 70–73 ✓
Ohio State @ Michigan +14.9 158.8 88% 62–74 ✓
Marquette @ Butler +10.6 159.6 84% 76–87 ✓
Akron @ Ohio -8.9 162.2 21% 86–65 ✓
Western Illinois @ Southern Indiana +4.7 137.4 63% 64–96 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State -3.4 142.4 36% 65–61 ✓
Mercer @ Wofford -1.3 159.1 52% 77–80 ✗
Ole Miss @ Kentucky +12.4 144.6 86% 63–72 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Florida -0.6 152.6 56% 114–117 ✗
Wake Forest @ Duke +16.3 151.8 88% 69–90 ✓
Nebraska @ Minnesota -6.0 139.2 26% 76–57 ✓
Maryland @ Michigan State +16.0 136.5 90% 48–91 ✓
North Carolina @ Virginia +6.3 146.2 76% 85–80 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State -5.7 158.0 30% 88–56 ✓
Clemson @ Georgia Tech -7.5 139.7 23% 77–63 ✓
American University @ Holy Cross -3.2 135.1 37% 76–67 ✓
NC State @ Pittsburgh -5.3 145.5 31% 81–72 ✓
Brown @ Princeton +4.3 137.7 66% 53–63 ✓
Niagara @ Sacred Heart +8.5 139.0 79% 70–71 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Hampton -4.7 133.9 37% 75–67 ✓
Elon @ Charleston +1.6 155.9 68% 70–80 ✓
Towson @ North Carolina A&T -5.3 134.9 31% 73–80 ✗
Monmouth @ Campbell +3.3 143.6 71% 88–73 ✗
Hofstra @ William & Mary +0.8 150.1 59% 82–89 ✓
Villanova @ UConn +8.9 136.7 80% 67–75 ✓
Georgetown @ Providence +6.5 159.3 69% 81–78 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Morehead State +3.2 132.1 67% 68–73 ✓
Georgia @ Texas +1.0 165.0 55% 67–87 ✓
Drake @ Indiana State -0.4 150.5 49% 76–62 ✓
Illinois State @ Belmont +3.6 142.4 71% 69–80 ✓
Temple @ UTSA -9.8 138.4 19% 70–64 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Wright State +3.2 149.7 69% 80–88 ✓
Milwaukee @ Youngstown State +3.6 146.4 65% 65–64 ✗
Green Bay @ Robert Morris +6.9 141.4 78% 71–67 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Marist +2.5 136.3 61% 64–71 ✓
Vermont @ Bryant -6.3 131.5 27% 62–52 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UMBC +3.7 144.4 63% 56–79 ✓
Texas State @ James Madison +4.6 139.4 67% 57–82 ✓
Southern Miss @ Coastal Carolina +1.7 142.8 65% 67–85 ✓
South Carolina @ Texas A&M +10.1 155.3 84% 69–92 ✓
Delaware @ Liberty +15.1 135.4 88% 51–67 ✓
St. John's @ Xavier -6.7 155.3 24% 88–83 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +13.9 138.5 89% 76–103 ✓
Army @ Navy +10.0 145.7 85% 56–84 ✓
VMI @ Western Carolina +7.7 149.9 76% 58–88 ✓
West Virginia @ Arizona +14.7 141.2 88% 53–88 ✓
Houston @ Texas Tech +1.3 136.5 53% 86–90 ✓
Morgan State @ Howard +12.5 140.1 88% 78–77 ✗
George Mason @ Rhode Island +0.4 131.7 50% 65–74 ✓
Duquesne @ Loyola Chicago -5.3 153.1 29% 71–59 ✓
Dayton @ Saint Joseph's -4.0 139.9 36% 74–81 ✗
Boston University @ Colgate +6.3 144.2 74% 79–80 ✓
Winthrop @ Presbyterian -5.2 142.9 24% 82–72 ✓
Miami @ Syracuse -0.6 146.4 50% 85–76 ✓
Bucknell @ Loyola Maryland +1.3 140.7 49% 62–67 ✓
Columbia @ Dartmouth -1.4 149.0 50% 79–69 ✓
St. Thomas @ South Dakota -5.7 153.4 28% 90–78 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Ball State +2.5 135.3 65% 53–58 ✓
Cornell @ Harvard +1.5 157.1 61% 86–79 ✗
Yale @ Pennsylvania -6.9 148.6 26% 77–60 ✓
Binghamton @ Maine +7.4 126.7 76% 63–79 ✓
UAlbany @ New Hampshire -0.2 137.2 46% 72–80 ✗
Northeastern @ Drexel +4.4 137.2 65% 78–83 ✓
Chattanooga @ Samford +3.7 149.2 69% 64–75 ✓
Arkansas State @ Georgia State -4.8 147.7 29% 81–82 ✗
Oklahoma @ Missouri +4.1 148.0 67% 87–88 ✓
Florida International @ New Mexico State +7.9 147.1 77% 81–78 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Sam Houston +4.6 152.8 70% 58–73 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Louisville +14.2 159.2 86% 71–85 ✓
Nicholls @ SE Louisiana -0.6 137.2 42% 61–67 ✗
Queens University @ West Georgia -5.8 164.8 27% 66–74 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ SIU Edwardsville +7.3 133.4 75% 58–62 ✓
Illinois @ Purdue +3.6 143.2 64% 88–82 ✗
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State -8.2 153.2 17% 84–71 ✓
Richmond @ George Washington +9.7 152.7 83% 69–85 ✓
UCF @ Colorado -0.1 152.3 48% 95–86 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Merrimack +2.2 132.7 62% 59–67 ✓
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -9.5 146.2 20% 86–58 ✓
Oakland @ Detroit Mercy -5.1 162.4 39% 95–87 ✓
Troy @ Georgia Southern -5.6 164.1 27% 83–78 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville +0.5 141.9 51% 76–81 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern -1.3 142.8 43% 74–89 ✗
Kent State @ Eastern Michigan -1.0 150.2 42% 76–75 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ McNeese +16.8 147.6 89% 63–82 ✓
Tennessee State @ Lindenwood +2.1 152.1 67% 96–86 ✗
Auburn @ Florida +8.8 161.6 77% 76–67 ✗
Murray State @ Northern Iowa -0.3 138.9 56% 76–81 ✗
San José State @ Wyoming +11.1 135.1 86% 62–66 ✓
Memphis @ Wichita State +3.0 142.0 66% 59–74 ✓
Jackson State @ Bethune-Cookman +7.4 153.3 83% 48–85 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -2.8 150.9 37% 82–71 ✓
Florida State @ SMU +13.0 163.2 87% 80–83 ✓
Air Force @ Boise State +20.6 137.5 91% 54–96 ✓
North Dakota @ Denver +4.0 152.2 65% 93–86 ✗
Rider @ Mount St. Mary's +6.4 136.8 77% 61–71 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Lamar -4.9 132.7 32% 88–81 ✓
Missouri State @ UTEP -1.1 136.9 48% 62–57 ✓
Tulsa @ Rice -11.3 147.6 22% 87–81 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word +0.5 130.0 50% 79–71 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Houston Christian -3.1 137.5 36% 68–51 ✓
LSU @ Arkansas +9.1 161.6 78% 81–85 ✓
VCU @ Davidson -4.1 143.8 34% 75–69 ✓
Seton Hall @ DePaul -2.0 132.7 45% 60–67 ✗
Bowling Green @ Toledo +0.1 148.0 57% 72–73 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Davis +7.6 147.0 81% 66–74 ✓
Portland State @ Idaho +0.3 144.5 47% 69–66 ✗
Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington +5.2 157.0 73% 67–75 ✓
Utah @ BYU +16.2 162.1 89% 78–91 ✓
Alabama State @ Prairie View A&M +1.9 152.0 62% 95–80 ✗
Alcorn State @ Florida A&M +7.1 141.8 83% 58–66 ✓
Pepperdine @ Washington State +10.0 140.2 85% 79–95 ✓
TCU @ Baylor +4.3 147.2 69% 97–90 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern +5.9 152.6 78% 75–74 ✗
Northwestern @ UCLA +7.4 138.1 76% 64–71 ✓
Boston College @ Notre Dame +9.9 134.9 81% 64–68 ✓
Central Michigan @ Western Michigan +7.1 145.8 75% 65–77 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana +3.5 146.2 71% 60–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.