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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–7 on winners spread MAE 10.6 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Nebraska @ Michigan +11.4 148.3 82% 72–75 ✓
Arkansas @ Oklahoma -3.5 165.1 35% 83–79 ✓
Virginia @ Notre Dame -7.1 140.9 29% 100–97 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Lamar +7.3 139.6 77% 61–82 ✓
Richmond @ VCU +14.3 149.7 88% 69–77 ✓
Rhode Island @ Dayton +5.8 135.4 76% 81–76 ✗
Arizona State @ UCF +8.9 157.8 82% 76–79 ✓
Syracuse @ NC State +10.6 152.5 85% 68–88 ✓
Toledo @ Akron +14.3 158.5 88% 81–91 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State +7.8 159.6 82% 57–72 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan -5.8 136.9 29% 65–100 ✗
Buffalo @ Bowling Green +7.3 147.7 78% 89–78 ✗
McNeese @ SE Louisiana -11.7 135.0 13% 76–66 ✓
Providence @ UConn +15.4 158.5 88% 81–87 ✓
George Washington @ Saint Louis +10.1 160.0 82% 76–79 ✓
Missouri @ Alabama +11.0 163.2 81% 64–90 ✓
Indiana State @ UIC +7.3 143.0 80% 74–76 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech +9.4 154.2 83% 65–71 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian -2.2 133.1 40% 75–81 ✗
Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois -2.3 142.2 45% 65–85 ✗
Kansas State @ West Virginia +6.6 146.3 77% 54–59 ✓
Purdue @ Indiana -1.2 143.0 41% 67–72 ✗
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt +7.0 156.6 73% 55–80 ✓
Massachusetts @ Miami (OH) +10.2 158.6 83% 84–86 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Loyola Chicago -4.4 142.8 32% 85–64 ✓
Creighton @ Marquette -2.4 152.6 43% 62–86 ✗
Boise State @ San José State -12.0 138.9 16% 89–58 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Nevada +4.4 139.2 73% 60–66 ✓
New Mexico @ UNLV -5.0 150.4 26% 89–61 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Southern +17.3 143.2 90% 69–80 ✓
Lehigh @ Army +1.0 151.2 54% 64–67 ✓
Baylor @ Cincinnati +1.5 146.5 60% 57–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.