But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–17 on winners spread MAE 8.7 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Butler @ St. John's +10.4 161.0 84% 70–92 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois -0.1 130.4 51% 50–65 ✗
Bucknell @ Lafayette +2.1 138.1 55% 79–81 ✓
La Salle @ Fordham +2.3 132.6 57% 58–64 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne +3.2 151.9 61% 87–79 ✗
Davidson @ George Mason +9.6 134.4 81% 52–60 ✓
Rice @ East Carolina +0.1 142.5 46% 83–77 ✗
Charlotte @ Temple +2.9 139.6 66% 80–76 ✗
USC @ Iowa +9.9 144.7 83% 72–73 ✓
Holy Cross @ Colgate +8.8 141.1 84% 74–79 ✓
California @ Florida State +0.3 150.0 52% 61–63 ✓
American University @ Loyola Maryland -3.7 141.6 31% 68–77 ✗
Navy @ Boston University -3.6 137.4 33% 58–50 ✓
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne -0.9 157.7 55% 74–65 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Robert Morris +11.1 156.8 85% 58–74 ✓
Mississippi State @ LSU +9.9 151.9 82% 80–66 ✗
Tennessee @ Georgia +3.5 157.9 65% 86–85 ✗
Texas @ Auburn +4.7 152.7 67% 82–88 ✓
West Georgia @ Bellarmine +4.9 151.7 67% 74–77 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Queens University +3.6 153.7 69% 100–90 ✗
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky -1.3 146.9 41% 90–82 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Florida International +3.4 141.7 66% 78–74 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Kennesaw State +2.7 157.7 65% 69–72 ✓
Evansville @ Drake +12.3 141.6 87% 78–82 ✓
Xavier @ Seton Hall +5.2 135.2 67% 68–86 ✓
Belmont @ Valparaiso -4.8 140.2 35% 78–77 ✓
North Texas @ Tulsa +10.0 139.6 84% 66–82 ✓
UAB @ UTSA -13.0 148.2 14% 83–73 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City -4.1 152.1 34% 69–61 ✓
South Dakota State @ Omaha -2.1 143.9 39% 71–80 ✗
Marshall @ Texas State -5.9 145.3 26% 68–72 ✗
Old Dominion @ Arkansas State +10.5 156.7 83% 75–71 ✗
Sam Houston @ Missouri State -2.0 147.2 44% 80–71 ✓
DePaul @ Georgetown +3.0 139.6 67% 61–70 ✓
Florida @ South Carolina -7.4 152.3 17% 95–48 ✓
Wyoming @ Utah State +12.7 143.2 87% 62–94 ✓
Illinois State @ Murray State +2.3 152.2 64% 70–65 ✗
San Diego @ Pepperdine -0.3 145.4 49% 92–88 ✓
South Florida @ Tulane -7.6 158.5 24% 97–83 ✓
Minnesota @ Wisconsin +9.7 143.9 79% 63–67 ✓
Stanford @ Miami +7.6 147.3 80% 70–79 ✓
Delaware @ New Mexico State +11.7 134.8 86% 73–64 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ UTEP -0.1 126.8 44% 69–59 ✓
Houston @ TCU -2.2 135.7 24% 79–70 ✓
Seattle U @ Washington State +1.7 141.9 59% 58–70 ✓
Portland @ Pacific +6.9 140.1 76% 51–74 ✓
Oregon State @ Loyola Marymount +4.6 141.0 72% 72–69 ✗
Colorado State @ San Diego State +8.3 139.0 78% 50–73 ✓
San Francisco @ Santa Clara +10.9 146.6 85% 73–88 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon -2.2 136.1 43% 73–57 ✓
Samford @ Furman +7.4 145.3 78% 73–78 ✓
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +3.0 142.1 62% 61–66 ✓
Bryant @ Binghamton -3.8 130.4 42% 60–63 ✗
Wofford @ Chattanooga -0.7 146.1 48% 81–55 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville +15.3 146.7 90% 50–69 ✓
NJIT @ UAlbany +4.7 138.8 71% 77–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.