We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–17 on winners spread MAE 10.1 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UIC @ Southern Illinois +1.4 141.4 51% 68–66 ✗
Rutgers @ USC +10.7 150.1 85% 75–78 ✓
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan -7.0 144.4 24% 59–62 ✗
Harvard @ Yale +13.8 139.5 87% 67–65 ✗
New Haven @ Saint Francis -2.0 129.3 37% 81–69 ✓
UMBC @ UAlbany -0.0 136.2 50% 68–65 ✓
McNeese @ Lamar -7.4 140.3 20% 64–63 ✓
UConn @ Creighton -3.7 142.3 34% 85–58 ✓
Murray State @ Belmont +5.2 159.3 74% 86–103 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +1.3 137.0 57% 72–68 ✗
Washington @ Northwestern +1.0 142.9 49% 76–62 ✗
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +1.0 153.8 58% 94–87 ✗
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -2.1 149.0 36% 64–81 ✗
Georgia State @ South Alabama +6.9 141.0 75% 67–69 ✓
Idaho @ Northern Arizona -3.3 144.3 40% 79–62 ✓
South Florida @ Temple -5.8 156.0 33% 78–79 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Southern Indiana -2.2 134.8 36% 58–46 ✓
Auburn @ Tennessee +5.9 151.6 69% 69–77 ✓
Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount -9.4 146.5 19% 104–73 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +8.8 150.8 82% 69–83 ✓
Delaware @ UTEP +2.2 130.3 62% 55–70 ✓
Colorado State @ Wyoming +1.3 134.0 55% 57–68 ✓
New Mexico @ San José State -14.5 140.3 14% 90–80 ✓
Pacific @ San Francisco +4.7 135.7 75% 82–87 ✓
Montana @ Sacramento State -5.6 153.3 31% 79–86 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Sam Houston +9.3 135.9 81% 67–83 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga +11.8 144.3 86% 65–73 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne +0.3 143.5 45% 61–76 ✓
Purdue @ Maryland -11.4 144.4 18% 93–63 ✓
Alabama @ Florida +6.9 172.4 71% 77–100 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +5.3 144.9 75% 58–75 ✓
Siena @ Canisius -9.3 131.0 19% 78–63 ✓
Samford @ Western Carolina +1.3 152.5 51% 88–74 ✗
Chattanooga @ Furman +10.2 144.2 84% 70–75 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas State -10.3 150.0 16% 95–61 ✓
Kansas City @ St. Thomas +16.0 150.1 89% 64–99 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulsa +5.5 149.2 70% 83–93 ✓
East Carolina @ Florida Atlantic +13.5 148.9 86% 76–75 ✗
TCU @ Colorado -1.5 148.7 39% 61–87 ✗
Minnesota @ Penn State -1.3 138.4 44% 75–77 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Rider -8.6 133.7 18% 78–81 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield -0.8 147.1 54% 72–65 ✓
Wright State @ Green Bay -3.2 146.3 40% 83–75 ✓
Marist @ Niagara -10.7 128.2 16% 58–46 ✓
Manhattan @ Mount St. Mary's +4.0 145.0 66% 65–72 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ UL Monroe -9.0 146.8 19% 83–79 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +12.1 144.6 87% 78–76 ✗
Cleveland State @ Milwaukee +7.7 155.5 77% 90–88 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Oakland +4.9 159.3 73% 65–76 ✓
Illinois @ Nebraska +2.7 148.5 62% 78–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.