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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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84–45 on winners spread MAE 8.9 129 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Rice @ Charlotte +5.9 142.9 73% 70–80 ✓
Fairfield @ Iona +3.9 144.6 70% 71–70 ✗
Providence @ Villanova +10.2 158.5 84% 73–87 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Quinnipiac +8.6 152.0 82% 98–91 ✗
Dartmouth @ Yale +16.5 152.0 88% 68–83 ✓
Cleveland State @ Green Bay +7.4 153.5 82% 89–82 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Detroit Mercy -3.8 157.0 48% 77–90 ✗
Marist @ Canisius -11.3 124.5 15% 88–86 ✓
Rider @ Manhattan +4.5 144.7 72% 90–95 ✓
Harvard @ Brown -2.1 134.2 41% 69–59 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Columbia +5.0 149.7 70% 67–72 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State -0.5 146.7 48% 83–71 ✓
Dayton @ Saint Louis +12.6 149.9 87% 71–102 ✓
Wright State @ Milwaukee -1.2 147.2 49% 76–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Peter's +7.1 133.5 77% 58–66 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ VCU +16.1 147.4 90% 75–89 ✓
Boise State @ Grand Canyon +0.4 140.1 55% 69–86 ✓
UNLV @ Nevada +10.6 148.7 85% 76–89 ✓
Duke @ Virginia Tech -12.1 148.6 15% 72–58 ✓
Cincinnati @ Houston +13.5 134.2 86% 54–76 ✓
Texas Tech @ UCF -2.4 153.8 31% 80–88 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Clemson +11.8 133.6 86% 52–63 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Winthrop +8.3 147.2 81% 71–84 ✓
Marquette @ Seton Hall +7.5 140.1 78% 64–69 ✓
Georgetown @ Butler +7.8 151.6 75% 77–64 ✗
NC State @ Wake Forest -2.2 152.8 43% 96–78 ✓
Ball State @ Toledo +9.9 140.7 82% 55–73 ✓
Campbell @ William & Mary +7.6 158.9 81% 104–96 ✗
Stony Brook @ Elon +5.3 148.8 76% 72–68 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ The Citadel -1.3 146.8 41% 66–71 ✗
Valparaiso @ Indiana State -0.3 143.5 47% 76–72 ✓
Holy Cross @ Army +1.3 142.2 58% 68–69 ✓
San Diego State @ Utah State +7.4 145.0 77% 66–71 ✓
DePaul @ Xavier +4.6 148.8 73% 66–68 ✓
Robert Morris @ Purdue Fort Wayne +0.2 146.2 62% 71–83 ✓
Stonehill @ Le Moyne +5.0 138.1 73% 65–54 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Wagner +2.9 133.3 54% 72–75 ✓
LSU @ South Carolina -2.3 146.6 39% 92–87 ✓
Texas A&M @ Georgia +7.2 171.3 76% 92–77 ✗
Virginia @ Boston College -12.6 141.6 20% 73–66 ✓
Arizona @ Arizona State -11.5 157.2 16% 87–74 ✓
North Carolina @ Georgia Tech -9.1 150.1 24% 91–75 ✓
SMU @ Louisville +7.7 158.1 79% 74–88 ✓
Colgate @ Lehigh -2.9 147.4 41% 76–77 ✗
Lafayette @ American University +7.7 140.4 79% 67–65 ✗
Fordham @ George Washington +12.0 141.6 87% 79–65 ✗
Ohio State @ Wisconsin +3.9 155.1 67% 82–92 ✓
Boston University @ Bucknell +0.6 141.6 49% 97–103 ✓
Radford @ Presbyterian +2.5 148.3 56% 93–84 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Chicago State -4.0 129.2 27% 74–78 ✗
Ohio @ Buffalo +4.6 151.3 72% 95–83 ✗
Long Island University @ Central Connecticut -0.7 139.9 45% 80–59 ✓
Maine @ UMass Lowell +2.9 129.7 56% 77–91 ✓
Charleston @ Northeastern -1.5 152.2 45% 89–84 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Drexel +6.1 135.4 78% 60–61 ✓
Hampton @ Towson +5.5 130.7 70% 50–82 ✓
Hofstra @ Monmouth -2.7 143.1 46% 73–57 ✓
VMI @ Mercer +16.0 151.4 90% 81–95 ✓
Old Dominion @ Texas State +1.3 141.3 57% 64–81 ✓
Texas @ Oklahoma +0.1 153.8 50% 79–69 ✗
Queens University @ Bellarmine -2.8 162.4 44% 75–78 ✗
North Alabama @ Stetson +1.9 144.4 59% 68–66 ✗
Lipscomb @ North Florida -10.1 157.3 17% 100–94 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ La Salle -1.4 137.5 40% 67–58 ✓
High Point @ Longwood -9.2 152.5 22% 71–59 ✓
Fresno State @ Air Force -10.2 132.7 16% 79–62 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State +11.8 146.6 87% 72–95 ✓
Marshall @ Arkansas State +3.2 159.4 68% 70–61 ✗
James Madison @ Southern Miss -0.2 144.3 54% 65–73 ✗
Idaho State @ Weber State +2.2 147.6 63% 79–81 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Jacksonville +0.8 144.0 52% 68–49 ✗
California Baptist @ UT Arlington -0.1 129.4 53% 87–77 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Missouri State +2.9 136.0 63% 67–74 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) +16.1 151.0 89% 61–85 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State +0.3 153.4 47% 69–54 ✗
Mississippi State @ Missouri +5.6 148.1 72% 79–84 ✓
Lindenwood @ Morehead State -0.6 149.2 53% 79–78 ✓
Evansville @ Northern Iowa +11.5 128.4 86% 55–71 ✓
Norfolk State @ Howard +3.8 139.0 68% 60–88 ✓
Baylor @ West Virginia +2.7 137.9 66% 63–53 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi Valley State -8.7 140.5 18% 78–70 ✓
Grambling @ Jackson State -4.4 142.1 32% 69–66 ✓
California @ Miami +5.7 144.5 76% 86–85 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +10.6 139.8 84% 71–87 ✓
Omaha @ Denver +0.8 152.1 53% 84–82 ✗
New Hampshire @ Bryant -1.2 131.4 47% 84–92 ✗
Hawai'i @ Long Beach State -7.8 142.5 24% 89–82 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Louisiana -3.8 138.8 39% 60–69 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado +7.9 156.5 79% 71–74 ✓
Southern Utah @ Abilene Christian +5.7 142.0 73% 79–76 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee +4.1 140.5 69% 65–60 ✗
Little Rock @ Tennessee Tech -0.7 136.3 41% 77–87 ✗
BYU @ Kansas +3.8 153.1 64% 82–90 ✓
Davidson @ Richmond +2.8 139.0 61% 79–54 ✗
Morgan State @ Coppin State -3.2 143.3 36% 89–80 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +9.2 131.1 81% 71–73 ✓
NJIT @ Vermont +10.7 138.6 86% 79–77 ✗
App State @ Troy +8.4 143.0 80% 66–44 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Central Arkansas +5.7 155.2 74% 81–90 ✓
Austin Peay @ West Georgia -6.5 147.4 27% 81–78 ✓
UT Martin @ Western Illinois -9.2 129.8 16% 84–44 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Eastern Illinois -2.9 133.1 39% 77–59 ✓
Southern @ Alcorn State -5.3 146.3 27% 73–78 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Delaware State -3.6 124.8 36% 57–65 ✗
Indiana @ UCLA +2.9 141.0 69% 98–97 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Bakersfield -4.9 150.9 40% 80–72 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Incarnate Word +0.1 134.6 50% 106–93 ✗
Montana State @ Portland State +2.1 138.2 65% 54–63 ✓
Utah Tech @ Tarleton State +3.7 150.4 73% 65–59 ✗
New Mexico State @ Kennesaw State +1.9 152.4 65% 53–76 ✓
Texas Southern @ Prairie View A&M +2.5 156.9 58% 78–85 ✓
Florida A&M @ Alabama A&M +3.1 136.5 66% 65–72 ✓
Ole Miss @ Vanderbilt +13.9 152.9 86% 68–71 ✓
Bradley @ Drake +2.9 147.2 64% 87–73 ✗
Portland @ Washington State +8.4 146.2 81% 74–104 ✓
Oregon State @ San Diego +1.5 148.5 65% 78–76 ✗
Notre Dame @ Syracuse +2.3 141.2 66% 72–86 ✓
Dartmouth @ Brown -0.2 145.0 49% 77–70 ✓
Princeton @ Columbia +6.5 140.1 77% 80–68 ✗
North Dakota State @ South Dakota -7.4 153.0 22% 89–84 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Massachusetts +5.2 144.0 70% 67–70 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Cornell +5.0 161.8 71% 91–81 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Stephen F. Austin +11.2 135.4 84% 58–85 ✓
Northwestern State @ LSU New Orleans +4.3 148.5 69% 64–75 ✓
Nicholls @ East Texas A&M -1.6 142.7 43% 72–68 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Utah -0.9 160.0 45% 81–69 ✓
Stanford @ Florida State +1.6 150.0 56% 80–88 ✓
George Mason @ St. Bonaventure -2.1 137.9 41% 77–73 ✓
Kentucky @ Arkansas +6.3 159.1 72% 85–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.