Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -162 MTSU +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +3 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | KENN -2.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -2.9 (-5.9) | 151.8 (+25.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -3.2 (-6.2) | 149.9 (+27.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -2.7 (-5.7) | 148.3 (+28.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -2.6 (-5.6) | 149.2 (+27.8) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | MTSU 68 – 67 KENN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MTSU 76 – 75 KENN |
| Jan 10, 2025 | MTSU 84 – 79 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#167) | 0.1 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#187) | -0.39 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#181) | -0.41 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#197) | 0.509 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 32.0% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.6% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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