Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | MTSU -550 KENN +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +5 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -9.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -7.4 (-2.4) | 149.6 (+13.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -6.1 (-1.1) | 151.6 (+11.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -7.2 (-2.2) | 149.1 (+13.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -7.5 (-2.5) | 149.7 (+13.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MTSU 90 – 87 KENN |
| Dec 18, 2025 | MTSU 68 – 67 KENN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MTSU 76 – 75 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTSU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#110) | -2.1 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#84) | 0.26 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#102) | 0.02 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#46) | 0.514 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTSU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.