Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | KENN -135 MTSU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +1 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | KENN -0.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -0.5 (-1.5) | 144.8 (+6.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -0.9 (-1.9) | 145.4 (+5.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -1.4 (-2.4) | 143.3 (+7.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -1.0 (-2.0) | 143.4 (+7.6) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MTSU 90 – 87 KENN |
| Dec 18, 2025 | MTSU 68 – 67 KENN |
| Jan 10, 2025 | MTSU 84 – 79 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#165) | 2.8 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#123) | 0.92 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#136) | 0.89 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#114) | 0.564 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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