Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -800 SUU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -11.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -6.7 (+3.3) | 143.8 (-7.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -7.0 (+3.0) | 141.3 (-5.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -6.3 (+3.7) | 143.8 (-7.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -7.5 (+2.5) | 144.7 (-8.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | SEA 62 – 39 SUU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SEA 75 – 52 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SEA 78 – 68 SUU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SEA 81 – 60 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 14-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W4 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#132) | -2.5 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#211) | -0.43 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#188) | -0.26 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#208) | 0.460 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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