Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -120 SUU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +21 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -2.4 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -2.8 (+18.2) | 151.3 (-10.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -2.6 (+18.4) | 151.6 (-10.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -2.7 (+18.3) | 152.8 (-11.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -2.7 (+18.3) | 152.2 (-11.2) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | SEA 62 – 39 SUU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SEA 75 – 52 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SEA 78 – 68 SUU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | SEA 73 – 63 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#114) | 5.0 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#64) | 0.77 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#80) | 0.96 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#71) | 0.547 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 32.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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