And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
Western Athletic Conference · America First Events Center · February 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SEA -4.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money SUU +175 / SEA -175
Model Predictions
Spread Total SUU win
Actual SEA +10 146 Lost
Massey SEA -3.2 (-6.8) — —
Massey Totals — 151.4 (-5.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 39% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 34% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SEA -1.8 (-8.2) 145.6 (+0.4) 42% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SEA -2.5 (-7.5) 147.6 (-1.6) 38% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SEA -2.3 (-7.7) 149.1 (-3.1) 43% ✓
Baseline ML SEA -2.4 (-7.6) 146.7 (-0.7) 43% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2025 SEA 62 – 39 SUU
Jan 19, 2025 SEA 75 – 52 SUU
Dec 2, 2023 SEA 73 – 63 SUU
Jan 21, 2023 SEA 81 – 60 SUU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SUU SEA
Overall 10-21 23-14
Conference 5-15 11-9
Home 6-8 14-4
Away 3-13 4-9
Neutral 1-0 5-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak W1 W4
Avg Pts For 73.2 73.0
Avg Pts Against 77.8 67.4
Massey -3.1 (#224) 3.5 (#119)
Bradley-Terry -0.83 (#256) 0.25 (#151)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.68 (#227) 0.68 (#129)
RPI 0.450 (#266) 0.505 (#165)
Shooting & Four Factors SUU SEA
FG% 42.9% 43.8%
3PT% 28.5% 33.3%
REB / G 33.8 36.8
OREB / G 10.4 10.3
AST / TO 0.88 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.0% 50.0%
TOV% 17.2% 19.1%
ORB% 28.2% 30.3%
FT Rate 28.1% 28.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 46.6%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 18.0%
DRB% 66.3% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 24.5% 27.0%

Game Analysis

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