Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -800 HAMP +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +27 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -19.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -14.5 (+12.5) | 150.3 (-17.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -13.8 (+13.2) | 150.5 (-17.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -14.9 (+12.1) | 149.9 (-16.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -14.7 (+12.3) | 151.3 (-18.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2025 | HAMP 83 – 77 DEL |
| Mar 10, 2024 | DEL 80 – 50 HAMP |
| Jan 27, 2023 | HAMP 67 – 66 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#131) | -12.5 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#166) | -2.57 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#139) | -2.91 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#175) | 0.369 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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