Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -600 HAMP +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +30 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -12.7 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -10.0 (+20.0) | 138.7 (-8.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -9.9 (+20.1) | 139.5 (-9.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -10.0 (+20.0) | 138.9 (-8.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -10.0 (+20.0) | 137.8 (-7.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2025 | HAMP 83 – 77 DEL |
| Jan 5, 2024 | DEL 80 – 53 HAMP |
| Jan 27, 2023 | HAMP 67 – 66 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#165) | -12.9 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#173) | -2.08 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#165) | -2.49 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#169) | 0.409 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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