Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +450 DEL -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -7.4 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -7.2 (+8.2) | 144.1 (-11.1) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -8.3 (+9.3) | 141.5 (-8.5) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -7.1 (+8.1) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -6.9 (+7.9) | 143.7 (-10.7) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2025 | HAMP 83 – 77 DEL |
| Mar 10, 2024 | DEL 80 – 50 HAMP |
| Jan 5, 2024 | DEL 80 – 53 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#348) | -1.8 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#341) | -0.00 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#342) | -0.00 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#336) | 0.500 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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