I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Coastal Athletic Association · Convocation Center (VA) · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread HAMP -3.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money HAMP -138 / CAM +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total HAMP win
Actual CAM +11 149 Lost
Massey HAMP -0.8 (-11.8) — —
Massey Totals — 136.8 (+12.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 66% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 73% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CAM -0.3 (-10.7) 133.5 (+15.5) 44% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -0.7 (-10.3) 136.5 (+12.5) 42% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HAMP -0.7 (-11.7) 135.6 (+13.4) 48% ✓
Baseline ML CAM -0.1 (-10.9) 135.8 (+13.2) 41% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 9, 2026 CAM 86 – 72 HAMP
Jan 10, 2025 CAM 66 – 55 HAMP
Feb 23, 2024 HAMP 72 – 68 CAM
Feb 24, 2022 HAMP 68 – 66 CAM
Jan 27, 2022 CAM 75 – 60 HAMP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HAMP CAM
Overall 9-24 14-18
Conference 3-15 8-10
Home 5-9 11-6
Away 1-12 3-11
Neutral 3-3 0-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.0 69.0
Avg Pts Against 78.5 73.9
Massey -13.2 (#343) -9.7 (#320)
Bradley-Terry -2.57 (#343) -2.38 (#337)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.88 (#331) -2.93 (#334)
RPI 0.377 (#350) 0.347 (#360)
Shooting & Four Factors HAMP CAM
FG% 40.3% 42.1%
3PT% 28.4% 31.0%
REB / G 33.5 30.9
OREB / G 10.3 7.6
AST / TO 0.78 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.0% 47.9%
TOV% 20.1% 20.2%
ORB% 27.4% 24.8%
FT Rate 23.8% 29.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.6% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 17.6%
DRB% 68.1% 67.5%
Opp FT Rate 29.9% 19.5%

Game Analysis

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