Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Coastal Athletic Association · Convocation Center (VA) · January 10, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread HAMP -4.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money HAMP -190 / CAM +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total HAMP win
Actual CAM +11 121 Lost
Massey HAMP -8.1 (-19.1) — —
Massey Totals — 134.4 (-13.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✗
Baseline Plus ML HAMP -5.9 (-16.9) 138.2 (-17.2) 70% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HAMP -5.1 (-16.1) 135.7 (-14.7) 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML HAMP -5.2 (-16.2) 137.3 (-16.3) 71% ✗
Baseline ML HAMP -5.6 (-16.6) 138.3 (-17.3) 72% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 9, 2026 CAM 86 – 72 HAMP
Feb 23, 2024 HAMP 72 – 68 CAM
Jan 6, 2024 CAM 80 – 69 HAMP
Feb 24, 2022 HAMP 68 – 66 CAM
Jan 27, 2022 CAM 75 – 60 HAMP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HAMP CAM
Overall 17-16 15-17
Conference 8-10 10-8
Home 10-4 8-6
Away 4-9 7-10
Neutral 3-3 0-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 69.6 68.9
Avg Pts Against 70.8 69.3
Massey -2.7 (#213) -6.8 (#281)
Bradley-Terry -0.14 (#181) -1.86 (#322)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.10 (#174) -1.87 (#293)
RPI 0.506 (#159) 0.409 (#324)
Shooting & Four Factors HAMP CAM
FG% 38.0% 41.4%
3PT% 31.5% 31.4%
REB / G 34.3 29.7
OREB / G 13.0 7.4
AST / TO 1.05 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.1% 48.2%
TOV% 15.5% 16.8%
ORB% 33.3% 21.8%
FT Rate 24.8% 27.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.1% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 18.4%
DRB% 67.9% 72.5%
Opp FT Rate 33.2% 22.4%

Game Analysis

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