We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · January 27, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -12.0 Home covered
O/U 124.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +15 135 Won
Massey CAM -12.7 (+2.3) — —
Massey Totals — 117.7 (+17.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CAM -10.3 (+4.7) 125.9 (+9.1) 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -9.9 (+5.1) 127.7 (+7.3) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -9.7 (+5.3) 128.7 (+6.3) 83% ✓
Baseline ML CAM -10.7 (+4.3) 126.8 (+8.2) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 9, 2026 CAM 86 – 72 HAMP
Jan 10, 2025 CAM 66 – 55 HAMP
Feb 23, 2024 HAMP 72 – 68 CAM
Jan 6, 2024 CAM 80 – 69 HAMP
Feb 24, 2022 HAMP 68 – 66 CAM

Game Analysis

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