Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU +260 LT -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | LT -7.2 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -4.6 (+8.6) | 137.7 (+20.3) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -7.4 (+11.4) | 139.5 (+18.5) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LT -7.4 (+11.4) | 139.7 (+18.3) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -7.0 (+11.0) | 140.4 (+17.6) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LT 87 – 78 SHSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SHSU 83 – 67 LT |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LT 90 – 66 SHSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LT 66 – 61 SHSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | SHSU 72 – 66 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 12-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#245) | 7.4 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#250) | 1.07 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#266) | 1.88 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#193) | 0.567 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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