Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -135 LT +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +24 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -1.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -0.4 (-24.4) | 138.2 (+17.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -0.8 (-24.8) | 140.8 (+15.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -0.3 (-24.3) | 141.0 (+15.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.1 (-24.1) | 139.7 (+16.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LT 87 – 78 SHSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SHSU 83 – 67 LT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LT 66 – 61 SHSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | SHSU 72 – 66 LT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SHSU 81 – 77 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#169) | 1.7 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#194) | 0.75 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#173) | 0.91 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#193) | 0.545 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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