You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
Coastal Athletic Association · Bob Carpenter Center · January 19, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread DEL -7.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money DEL -333 / STBK +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEL win
Actual DEL +3 139 Won
Massey DEL -10.8 (-7.8) — —
Massey Totals — 145.9 (-6.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 73% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DEL -8.4 (-5.4) 142.9 (-3.9) 81% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DEL -7.9 (-4.9) 143.9 (-4.9) 80% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -8.0 (-5.0) 143.1 (-4.1) 81% ✓
Baseline ML DEL -8.7 (-5.7) 142.2 (-3.2) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2025 DEL 80 – 76 STBK
Jan 16, 2025 DEL 84 – 74 STBK
Mar 2, 2024 STBK 79 – 56 DEL
Feb 14, 2023 DEL 71 – 60 STBK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEL STBK
Overall 19-14 20-15
Conference 10-8 10-8
Home 8-5 13-3
Away 8-6 4-11
Neutral 3-3 3-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.3 73.0
Avg Pts Against 69.7 73.0
Massey 3.1 (#122) -3.9 (#238)
Bradley-Terry 0.24 (#153) -0.05 (#177)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.70 (#130) 0.25 (#162)
RPI 0.503 (#168) 0.487 (#196)
Shooting & Four Factors DEL STBK
FG% 45.9% 42.3%
3PT% 33.3% 33.5%
REB / G 35.1 35.5
OREB / G 9.5 10.2
AST / TO 1.33 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 48.6%
TOV% 15.7% 16.7%
ORB% 27.8% 27.9%
FT Rate 22.1% 20.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 17.6%
DRB% 73.0% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.2% 17.2%

Game Analysis

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