Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -700 STBK +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +10 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -13.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -10.9 (-0.9) | 148.8 (+9.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -8.3 (+1.7) | 146.8 (+11.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -9.9 (+0.1) | 149.3 (+8.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -10.8 (-0.8) | 149.9 (+8.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | DEL 80 – 76 STBK |
| Mar 2, 2024 | STBK 79 – 56 DEL |
| Jan 19, 2024 | DEL 71 – 68 STBK |
| Feb 14, 2023 | DEL 71 – 60 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#204) | -12.4 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#242) | -1.91 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#235) | -2.64 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#255) | 0.420 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 58.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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