Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -320 STBK +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +4 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -5.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -3.3 (+0.7) | 144.8 (+11.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -3.1 (+0.9) | 143.8 (+12.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -3.9 (+0.1) | 145.8 (+10.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -3.2 (+0.8) | 146.8 (+9.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | DEL 84 – 74 STBK |
| Mar 2, 2024 | STBK 79 – 56 DEL |
| Jan 19, 2024 | DEL 71 – 68 STBK |
| Feb 14, 2023 | DEL 71 – 60 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#260) | -11.2 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#265) | -1.75 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#265) | -2.25 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#254) | 0.433 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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