Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -1200 FIU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -14.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -12.1 (-3.1) | 144.3 (+2.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -12.7 (-3.7) | 143.2 (+3.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -11.1 (-2.1) | 144.4 (+2.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -11.6 (-2.6) | 144.7 (+2.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LIB 90 – 89 FIU |
| Dec 28, 2025 | LIB 97 – 94 FIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LIB 58 – 45 FIU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LIB 82 – 59 FIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | FIU 76 – 71 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#101) | -5.7 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#120) | -1.15 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#109) | -1.20 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#127) | 0.428 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 26.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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