Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | FIU +225 LIB -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +23 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -7.4 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -6.6 (-16.4) | 137.5 (+3.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -5.7 (-17.3) | 134.6 (+6.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -7.1 (-15.9) | 135.6 (+5.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -6.7 (-16.3) | 136.7 (+4.3) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LIB 90 – 89 FIU |
| Dec 28, 2025 | LIB 97 – 94 FIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LIB 58 – 45 FIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | FIU 76 – 71 LIB |
| Jan 19, 2024 | LIB 78 – 69 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#230) | 6.6 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#284) | 1.17 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#269) | 1.86 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#315) | 0.542 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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