Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -600 SHSU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +16 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -10.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -9.5 (+6.5) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -9.4 (+6.6) | 140.0 (+8.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -8.7 (+7.3) | 141.7 (+6.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -9.1 (+6.9) | 141.8 (+6.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | LIB 79 – 72 SHSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIB 82 – 74 SHSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIB 64 – 61 SHSU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 SHSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SHSU 83 – 73 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 13-3 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#108) | -2.6 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#120) | 0.06 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#107) | -0.12 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#127) | 0.514 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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