Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -110 LIB -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +8 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -3.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -2.7 (-10.7) | 150.2 (+5.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -1.9 (-9.9) | 150.1 (+5.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -2.2 (-10.2) | 148.7 (+7.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -2.3 (-10.3) | 150.0 (+6.0) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | LIB 79 – 72 SHSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIB 64 – 61 SHSU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 SHSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SHSU 83 – 73 LIB |
| Jan 21, 2024 | LIB 82 – 66 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 17-3 |
| Home | 13-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-10 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#109) | 4.4 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#124) | 1.27 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#122) | 1.43 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#92) | 0.580 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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