Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -700 SHSU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +3 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -13.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -13.5 (-10.5) | 141.4 (-16.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -9.6 (-6.6) | 145.3 (-20.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -12.1 (-9.1) | 141.2 (-16.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -12.7 (-9.7) | 141.5 (-16.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | LIB 79 – 72 SHSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIB 82 – 74 SHSU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 SHSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SHSU 83 – 73 LIB |
| Jan 21, 2024 | LIB 82 – 66 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#76) | -2.4 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#73) | -0.84 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#67) | -0.63 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#83) | 0.474 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 19.5% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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