Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -600 STO +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -11.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -10.3 (-5.3) | 140.4 (+8.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -8.6 (-3.6) | 143.6 (+5.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -10.6 (-5.6) | 144.3 (+4.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -9.8 (-4.8) | 142.1 (+6.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | SHU 79 – 51 STO |
| Jan 28, 2023 | STO 82 – 81 SHU |
| Dec 29, 2022 | STO 74 – 67 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 2-14 |
| Home | 11-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 0-19 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#291) | -15.3 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#318) | -3.52 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#318) | -4.24 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#313) | 0.380 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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