Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | STO -110 SHU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +1 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | STO -3.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -1.8 (-0.8) | 138.8 (+24.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -3.2 (-2.2) | 140.2 (+22.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -2.0 (-1.0) | 140.6 (+22.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STO -2.0 (-1.0) | 139.9 (+23.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | SHU 79 – 51 STO |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SHU 77 – 72 STO |
| Dec 29, 2022 | STO 74 – 67 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 8-8 |
| Home | 7-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#326) | -9.8 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#304) | -1.49 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#318) | -1.95 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#278) | 0.431 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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