Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | STO +180 SHU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +28 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -4.5 (-23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -4.4 (-23.6) | 140.3 (-10.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -4.5 (-23.5) | 141.7 (-11.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -5.4 (-22.6) | 143.4 (-13.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -4.5 (-23.5) | 141.0 (-11.0) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | SHU 77 – 72 STO |
| Jan 28, 2023 | STO 82 – 81 SHU |
| Dec 29, 2022 | STO 74 – 67 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 10-6 |
| Home | 4-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 0-19 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -15.4 (#352) | -7.6 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#357) | -1.52 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.85 (#357) | -1.90 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#352) | 0.434 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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