Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -333 FIU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +14 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -8.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -6.8 (+7.2) | 146.6 (-20.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -9.2 (+4.8) | 146.3 (-20.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -7.8 (+6.2) | 145.5 (-19.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -7.0 (+7.0) | 147.1 (-21.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SHSU 100 – 67 FIU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SHSU 76 – 63 FIU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | FIU 85 – 82 SHSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SHSU 81 – 74 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | SHSU 78 – 59 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 5-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#207) | -7.7 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#166) | -1.29 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#180) | -1.33 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#148) | 0.426 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 25.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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