Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -142 SHSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +13 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -1.6 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.3 (-30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.8 (-12.2) | 158.0 (-19.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -1.8 (-11.2) | 158.6 (-19.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -0.5 (-12.5) | 156.6 (-17.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -0.9 (-12.1) | 156.7 (-17.7) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SHSU 100 – 67 FIU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | FIU 85 – 82 SHSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SHSU 81 – 74 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | SHSU 78 – 59 FIU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SHSU 70 – 56 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#181) | 4.3 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#219) | 0.48 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#205) | 0.70 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#213) | 0.537 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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