Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -400 FIU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +7 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -5.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -5.3 (+1.7) | 150.4 (+4.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -6.9 (+0.1) | 147.2 (+7.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -4.3 (+2.7) | 150.4 (+4.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -4.5 (+2.5) | 150.8 (+4.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SHSU 100 – 67 FIU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SHSU 76 – 63 FIU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | FIU 85 – 82 SHSU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | SHSU 78 – 59 FIU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SHSU 70 – 56 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-13 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#184) | -3.1 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#196) | -1.14 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#165) | -1.18 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#165) | 0.426 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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