Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | ME +260 UVM -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +11 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -3.4 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -3.9 (-7.1) | 127.5 (-2.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -4.5 (-6.5) | 127.3 (-2.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -3.9 (-7.1) | 126.4 (-1.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -3.7 (-7.3) | 125.8 (-0.8) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ME 76 – 70 UVM |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UVM 67 – 62 ME |
| Mar 11, 2025 | ME 57 – 42 UVM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UVM 65 – 61 ME |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UVM 55 – 49 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 15-1 |
| Home | 8-4 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-13 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#219) | 3.8 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#250) | 1.16 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#226) | 1.43 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#221) | 0.574 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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