Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | ME -170 UVM +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +4 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | ME -7.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -4.9 (-8.9) | 129.0 (-3.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -3.9 (-7.9) | 126.0 (-0.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -5.0 (-9.0) | 126.3 (-0.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -5.3 (-9.3) | 127.8 (-1.8) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ME 76 – 70 UVM |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UVM 67 – 62 ME |
| Mar 11, 2025 | ME 57 – 42 UVM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UVM 55 – 49 ME |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UVM 68 – 57 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 13-3 |
| Home | 10-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 65.0 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#199) | -6.6 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#207) | -0.49 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#202) | -0.72 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#183) | 0.502 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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