Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -154 SHSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +11 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -1.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -0.8 (-10.2) | 139.8 (-20.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -1.1 (-12.1) | 140.1 (-21.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -0.5 (-11.5) | 141.2 (-22.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.1 (-10.9) | 141.9 (-22.9) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SHSU 70 – 66 UTEP |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTEP 79 – 65 SHSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SHSU 89 – 87 UTEP |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UTEP 81 – 72 SHSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | UTEP 65 – 63 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 13-3 |
| Home | 13-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#201) | -0.9 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#231) | 0.35 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#216) | 0.24 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#265) | 0.528 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.0% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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