Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -213 UTEP +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +2 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -1.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -3.6 (-5.6) | 135.3 (-7.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -2.6 (-4.6) | 134.6 (-6.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -2.2 (-4.2) | 133.5 (-5.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -2.7 (-4.7) | 135.6 (-7.6) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SHSU 70 – 66 UTEP |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTEP 79 – 65 SHSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SHSU 89 – 87 UTEP |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UTEP 81 – 72 SHSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SHSU 65 – 54 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 13-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#159) | -1.2 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#122) | -0.27 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#128) | -0.18 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#96) | 0.484 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 26.3% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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