Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -135 UTEP +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +2 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -1.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -1.8 (+0.2) | 146.3 (+29.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -0.7 (+1.3) | 146.2 (+29.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -0.4 (+1.6) | 146.3 (+29.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.5 (+1.5) | 147.2 (+28.8) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SHSU 70 – 66 UTEP |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTEP 79 – 65 SHSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UTEP 81 – 72 SHSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | UTEP 65 – 63 SHSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SHSU 65 – 54 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#185) | 0.6 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#201) | 0.45 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#181) | 0.23 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#218) | 0.518 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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