Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -200 ME +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +26 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -4.9 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -4.7 (+21.3) | 142.7 (-0.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -4.4 (+21.6) | 143.0 (-1.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -5.1 (+20.9) | 138.2 (+3.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -4.6 (+21.4) | 140.4 (+1.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BRY 73 – 67 ME |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BRY 56 – 51 ME |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BRY 79 – 59 ME |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BRY 80 – 72 ME |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BRY 81 – 55 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#181) | -2.9 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#142) | -0.54 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#150) | -0.53 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#119) | 0.488 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 20.2% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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