Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -340 ME +265 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +20 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -6.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -5.3 (+14.7) | 145.4 (-7.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -6.9 (+13.1) | 145.7 (-7.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -6.9 (+13.1) | 144.0 (-6.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -5.2 (+14.8) | 145.4 (-7.4) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BRY 73 – 67 ME |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BRY 56 – 51 ME |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BRY 80 – 72 ME |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BRY 81 – 55 ME |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRY 84 – 58 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 10-7 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#152) | -2.7 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#168) | -0.52 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#149) | -0.55 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#96) | 0.490 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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