Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ME +110 BRY -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | ME -0.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -0.5 (-8.5) | 147.3 (+4.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -0.2 (-8.2) | 146.0 (+6.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -0.6 (-8.6) | 144.4 (+7.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -0.1 (-8.1) | 145.4 (+6.6) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BRY 73 – 67 ME |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BRY 56 – 51 ME |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BRY 79 – 59 ME |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BRY 81 – 55 ME |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRY 84 – 58 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 14-2 |
| Home | 10-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-11 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#210) | -0.3 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#226) | -0.17 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#219) | 0.04 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#192) | 0.528 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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