Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | UNH -250 HC +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +18 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -10.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -6.9 (+11.1) | 130.1 (+7.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -9.1 (+8.9) | 129.9 (+8.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -7.3 (+10.7) | 130.1 (+7.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -7.7 (+10.3) | 130.9 (+7.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | HC 74 – 72 UNH |
| Nov 27, 2021 | UNH 70 – 55 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#301) | -12.7 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#319) | -3.20 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.58 (#323) | -4.02 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#276) | 0.369 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.5% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.7% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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