Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +15 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | UNH -8.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -8.3 (-6.7) | 138.8 (-13.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -7.5 (-7.5) | 133.9 (-8.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -7.0 (-8.0) | 140.0 (-15.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -6.7 (-8.3) | 140.2 (-15.2) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | HC 74 – 72 UNH |
| Dec 20, 2022 | UNH 78 – 60 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#350) | 2.0 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#329) | 0.33 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.79 (#333) | 0.44 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.330 (#344) | 0.597 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.34 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 26.4% | 10.3% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 11.4% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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