Betting Lines
| Spread | HC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | HC -225 UNH +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | HC -14.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HC -12.3 (-10.3) | 141.5 (+4.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HC -8.3 (-6.3) | 142.2 (+3.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HC -11.1 (-9.1) | 143.4 (+2.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HC -11.8 (-9.8) | 144.5 (+1.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2022 | UNH 78 – 60 HC |
| Nov 27, 2021 | UNH 70 – 55 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-10 |
| Home | 7-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#174) | -15.0 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#183) | -3.74 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#193) | -5.65 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#100) | 0.188 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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