Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | DEN +215 UNCO -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +7 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -5.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -4.6 (-2.4) | 153.0 (+4.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -3.0 (-4.0) | 153.2 (+3.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -1.8 (-5.2) | 153.9 (+3.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -2.5 (-4.5) | 156.8 (+0.2) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | DEN 86 – 79 UNCO |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UNCO 86 – 82 DEN |
| Dec 17, 2020 | UNCO 83 – 75 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#299) | 0.8 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#296) | 0.29 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#339) | 0.57 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#338) | 0.512 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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