Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | DREX +240 COFC -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -4.9 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -5.0 (+6.0) | 140.7 (-1.7) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -3.7 (+4.7) | 141.9 (-2.9) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -5.6 (+6.6) | 140.2 (-1.2) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -4.7 (+5.7) | 141.4 (-2.4) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | COFC 72 – 63 DREX |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DREX 64 – 55 COFC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | COFC 80 – 70 DREX |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DREX 80 – 79 COFC |
| Feb 15, 2022 | COFC 79 – 75 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-3 | 17-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#194) | 7.2 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#239) | 2.45 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#229) | 2.56 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#268) | 0.583 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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