Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | DREX -160 COFC +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +1 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -3.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -3.5 (-2.5) | 151.3 (+7.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -1.8 (-0.8) | 149.2 (+9.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -2.8 (-1.8) | 150.9 (+8.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -2.8 (-1.8) | 152.3 (+6.7) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | COFC 72 – 63 DREX |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DREX 64 – 55 COFC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | COFC 80 – 70 DREX |
| Feb 3, 2023 | DREX 70 – 69 COFC |
| Feb 15, 2022 | COFC 79 – 75 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#146) | 0.5 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#165) | 0.31 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#171) | 0.22 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#174) | 0.512 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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