Betting Lines
| Spread | ARK -33.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARK +37 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | ARK -30.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARK -26.0 (+11.0) | 150.3 (+6.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARK -26.4 (+10.6) | 153.3 (+3.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARK -22.9 (+14.1) | 149.1 (+7.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARK -26.0 (+11.0) | 150.0 (+7.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | ARK 93 – 56 CARK |
| Dec 14, 2024 | ARK 82 – 57 CARK |
| Dec 13, 2020 | ARK 100 – 75 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARK | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#57) | -16.5 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#22) | -2.27 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.15 (#23) | -3.08 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.649 (#14) | 0.382 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARK | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 80.4% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.